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Risk adjustment in healthcare: The ultimate guide for payers

By Linnie Greene, Staff Writer at Arcadia
Posted:
Risk Adjustment Population Health Management Healthcare Analytics Value-Based Care

Risk adjustment in healthcare is fundamental to ensuring equitable reimbursement for insurance payers. Payers who get it right improve business performance and healthcare outcomes.

However, payers need massive amounts of data to accurately forecast a patient’s potential health challenges and current risks. Read on to learn how risk adjustment shapes payer strategy and how you can sharpen your insights into population health.

What is risk adjustment in healthcare?

Risk adjustment in healthcare is the process of calculating payments to healthcare providers under value-based care contracts based on:

  • A patient’s health status
  • Their anticipated use of healthcare services
  • The costs associated with those services

This process relies on using patient characteristics, including demographics, claims history, and prescriptions, to predict the cost of care. Payers increasingly consider social determinants of health (SDoH) as part of this calculation as well, because of their significant impact on healthcare costs.

The sources of risk, which are used in risk adjustment in healthcare to calculate pay.

Payers apply statistical models to this data to anticipate future health costs and assign risk scores, which The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) defines as “a number representing the predicted cost of treating a specific patient or group of patients compared to the average Medicare patient.”

By accurately assessing enrollees' health risks, risk adjustment ensures that payments reflect the true cost of care, promoting better health outcomes and financial stability.

Implications of risk adjustment for payers

Risk adjustment impacts payers, providers, and patients in many ways, which makes getting it right all the more important. From business intelligence to improved health outcomes, here’s how a fine-tuned view of risk improves performance across the board for payers.

Fair compensation

Insurance payers receive fair compensation for enrollees’ health risks through risk adjustment in healthcare.

Payers with higher-risk populations, like those with chronic conditions, a high instance of SDoH impact, or both, receive higher payments to reflect the expected costs of care. This prevents payers from avoiding high-risk individuals and ensures that all enrollees receive the care they need.

Financial stability

Risk adjustment helps maintain financial stability for health plan payers by adjusting payments based on the risk profile of the insured population. It softens the financial impact of covering a large group of high-cost individuals, ensuring that payers can manage their risk pools.

Encouraging comprehensive coverage

Risk adjustment in healthcare also encourages insurance payers to provide comprehensive coverage for individuals at all risk levels. Without risk adjustment, payers might design plans that attract healthier individuals while deterring those with higher health risks. Risk adjustment aligns payments with the actual risk, promoting broader and more equitable coverage.

Market competition

Risk adjustment creates a level playing field in the highly competitive payer market. It prevents insurers from gaining an unfair advantage by selectively enrolling lower-risk individuals and encourages competition based on the quality and efficiency of care rather than risk selection. A detailed understanding of risk also allows payers in VBC to perform better, wasting fewer resources and competing at the top of the field.

Regulatory compliance

Many health insurance markets, especially those regulated by the government (like Medicare Advantage), mandate risk adjustment as part of their framework. Insurers must comply with these regulations to participate in the market and avoid penalties or exclusion.

Improving health outcomes

Accurate risk adjustment in healthcare means that payments reflect the true health risk of enrollees. As a result, risk adjustment helps organizations provide the appropriate care for high-risk members. This can lead to better health outcomes and lower overall costs in the long term, encouraging preventive care and proactive management of chronic conditions.

6 ways to gain a clearer picture of risk with data analytics

Here are six ways a data analytics platform sharpens risk adjustment for payers:

1. General insights and a single source of truth

Advanced analytics help payers calculate more precise reimbursements, eliminating guesswork and waste. In a sea of data, an analytics platform can sift through multiple systems, like EHRs and payer files, to zero in quickly on conditions.

Check out Arcadia’s risk suspecting engine →

The process of applying data analytics to risk adjustment in healthcare, which is described below.

2. Patient stratification

With data analytics, payers can accurately categorize members based on specific risks, disease profiles, and demographic information. From there, you can connect members to the resources they need to stay healthy. This promotes personalized experiences and customized health and wellness benefits, enhancing the overall quality of care.

Learn more about Patient Registry →

3. Identifying impact

Data analytics helps payers identify where interventions can have the greatest impact, enabling them to use resources wisely to achieve and maintain financial stability. Payers can focus their efforts effectively by pinpointing high-risk individuals and areas needing attention.

4. Automating workflows

With data analytics, you can regularly check member health without the burden of manual execution. As a result, data analytics enables you to save time by automating reports and everyday tasks.

5. Driving equity

Data analytics lets you assess healthcare payments and allocate resources fairly based on the health risk profile of individuals or entire populations. This enhances equitable financial arrangements and reimbursement for healthcare services, ensuring that all members receive appropriate care.

Learn more about Arcadia’s Health Equity Package →

6. Partnership with providers

Providers play a crucial role in the risk adjustment process. An engaged partnership between providers and health plans is essential for delivering valuable benefits to enrollees.

For example, insurers may use premiums and risk adjustment payments to offer members benefits like exercise initiatives, care management, and transportation to medical appointments. A sophisticated data platform lets providers avoid documentation gaps, ensure proper coding with a user-friendly interface, and capture conditions retrospectively. Accurate diagnostic codes submitted by providers help identify the types of programs needed and the specific members who would benefit most.

Enable retrospective condition capture with Arcadia Assess →

Leverage payers’ most powerful tool

Pinpointing risk adjustment carves a path to fair compensation, financial success, better coverage, and a competitive edge. Data analytics sharpens those insights, revealing opportunities early so you can act fast. Reach out to our sales team to learn how you can leverage this powerful tool with Arcadia’s software.